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The Economist's poll of economists: Examining the candidates
In our special report on the election we analyse the two candidatesa economic plans. Here, we ask professional economists to give us their views
AS THE financial crisis pushes the economy back to the top of votersa concerns, Barack Obama is starting to open up a clear lead over John McCain in the opinion polls. But among those who study economics for a living, Mr Obamaas lead is much more commanding. A survey of academic economists by The Economist finds the majorityaat times by overwhelming marginsabelieve Mr Obama has the superior economic plan, a firmer grasp of economics and will appoint better economic advisers.
Our survey is not, by any means, a scientific poll of all economists. We e-mailed a questionnaire to 683 research associates, all we could track down, of the National Bureau of Economic Research, Americaas premier association of applied academic economists, though the NBER itself played no role in the survey. A total of 142 responded, of whom 46% identified themselves as Democrats, 10% as Republicans and 44% as neither. This skewed party breakdown may reflect academiaas Democratic tilt, or possibly Democratsa greater propensity to respond. Still, even if we exclude respondents with a party identification, Mr Obama retains a strong edgeathough the McCain campaign should be buoyed by the fact that 530 economists have signed a statement endorsing his plans. ...
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